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Clandestine Clocking of Skilled Shooters - Part 1

This is one of those articles that was nearly two years in the making. In fact I’ve been holding off on writing about it for over a year now; but with the Dice Institute "Spring Fling"coming up, I thought I’d finally share it with you.

It’s a high-tech, but simple approach to unobtrusively clocking and then profitably capitalizing on the skills of other dice-influencers who just happen to be at the same table as you. In fact it is so inconspicuous that neither friends, strangers, nor pit-dwellers will likely notice anything you are doing…except perhaps for your uncanny ability to make money off of certain shooters rolls.

A Real-World Example

Let’s say that you walk into a casino where there appears to be a couple of dice-influencers at the table. They could already be friends or acquaintances, or they could be total strangers.

By the way their dice fly through the air and land in a somewhat correlated fashion, they seem to know what they are doing. Though sometimes their outcomes occasionally match the active wagers that they have on the table; there is also an abundance of outcomes that appear to be under-bet or completely un-utilized by those same shooters, but it’s hard to tell whether or not those are actual advantage-play opportunities or just some variant clutter on the de-randomized radar.

Now obviously, in the short term, anything can happen at a craps table…and it usually does; but the overriding question that many players want to know; is if there is a way to track a skilled shooters current right-here/right-now throws, and then use that information to extract a profit during his subsequent hands.

I’ve spent the last two years researching this subject and refining the methodology at the real-world tables; and I can tell you without reservation, that you can indeed do that in ways that produce a shockingly high ratio of dollars-won to dollars-bet.

In fact, I can also tell you that you can often wring more profit-per-dollar-wagered from bets that the shooter is completely missing out on or severely under-betting on; than the net amount of money he makes from all of his current wagers combined.

How To Do It

It all starts with tracking the Foundation Frequencies (F-F’s) of a shooters outcomes.

As you know, the five Foundation Frequencies (primary-face hits, single-pitched on-axis hits, double-pitched on-axis hits, one-die off-axis hits, and both-dice off-axis hits) constitute the basis of the DiceTool sub-program portion of Maddog’s excellent BoneTracker software.

If you’ve read pages 157 through 160 of my Crapshooting Bible or you’ve read my related articles on the subject; then thanks to Stanford Wong, you also know that I like using casino chips for the Hands-of-the-Clock F-F tracking-method so that I can keep precise detail of each multiple-toss hand...and even multiple hands by the same shooter.

~When I collect the Foundation Frequency data from a selected shooter, I enter those five simple numbers into my Blackberry-based DiceTool during a washroom break or when I step away from the table for a minute or two when the random-rollers have the dice.

~If I’ve been tracking multiple shooters; I simply start a fresh F-F data-base for each player (labelling it with their name, handle, or short physical description), and then I continue to update that particular shooters info as I gather more and more of his Foundation Frequency roll-stats during subsequent hands and sessions.

~Now I’ll be the first to tell you that one or two hands does not make a validated book of rolls, but I can also tell you that if you start tracking three or five or ten hands by the same shooter (even if it is spread over several sessions or many days); you will likely start to pick up all sorts of money-making clues as to where that shooters best money-making opportunities are found.

As I mentioned just a moment ago, some of the best betting-prospects are often NOT on all of the same numbers that he is currently betting on, although admittedly there is often a happily fortuitous overlap between his current shooting talent and his current betting talent.

When you track his Foundation Frequency roll-stats over several hands or especially over several sessions; you’ll often see opportunities where no one else (including the shooter himself) sees them.

Why is that?

Well DiceTool can work in two ways.

First it was designed for you to input your own Foundation Frequencies to help you determine the best dice-set and the best bets for your current skill.

However, you can also use DiceTool to input those same F-F’s and have it look at the dice-set currently being used by the shooter to determine which bets offers the strongest edge over the house.

In many cases, it offers a clear-eyed glimpse at what otherwise may be an unlikely opportunity that has been overlooked or at least under-bet by the shooter himself…and friends,THAT is where MY MONEY will be wagered.

My use of DiceTool for clandestine clocking of skilled dice-influencers simply offers an ideal way to take full advantage of a shooter’s right-here/right-now talents.

Why Not Just Use a Pencil and Paper?

There’s certainly nothing wrong with tracking your rolls or the rolls of other skilled dice-influencers with paper and pencil; however you do have to be somewhat skillfully quick and accurate in your math calculations.

On the other hand, using DiceTool does all of those calculations for you, and you can keep a constantly running updated tally on as many players as you want…over as many sessions, days, weeks, or months as you choose. All of the information is a click of the Blackberry away.

Where the Rubber Meets the Road

So how does using this clandestine clocking of skilled shooters manage to often wring more profit-per-$-wagered for YOU from bets that the shooter is severely under-betting or completely missing out on; than the money HE makes from all of his current wagers combined?

Well, the answer is so simple and straightforward as to be almost puritanical in its uncomplicated approach.

We use the Foundation Frequencies that we enter into DiceTool to determine the one or two numbers where the shooter has the greatest advantage; then we make unelaborate decently-sized Place-bets on those numbers only…and we let his dice-influencing skill do the rest.

That’s it…that’s all.

When a shooter has an advantage over the house, there is no need to get complicated. His edge will redeem itself if you put your money where he currently has the strongest advantage.

The fewer the numbers that you spread your money on, and the bigger his advantage over the one or two numbers where he has that strongest edge; the MORE money you will make off of those concentrated wagers…and the QUICKER you will make it.

Using DiceTool to clandestinely clock other skilled dice-influencers is an advantage play that I’ve been using for a little over two years now. If I suddenly lost the ability to effectively throw the dice myself, I know that I’d still have the means to profit from the throws of other D-I’s…even if their bets didn’t always reflect what I was betting on.

As always,

Good Luck and Good Skill at the Tables…and in Life.

The Mad Professor
Copyright © 2008

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on December 1, 2008 12:08 PM.

The previous post in this blog was Toss Mechanics Detailed.

The next post in this blog is Clandestine Clocking of Skilled Shooters - Part Three.

Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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