It makes sense for a shooter to take a sample of his tosses…see how much money he would make using those tosses with various dice sets, and then choose the set that makes the most money for the way his dice behave.
In a nutshell, that is the premise behind the development of DiceTool (which is now part of Maddog’s excellent BoneTracker program).
DiceTool simply takes your roll-stats and determines which tailored-to-YOUR-typical-throw dice-set will give you the highest player-edge over certain bets; and frankly, that is really what advantage-play is all about.
You can have the best money-management skills in the world, and you can be the best dice-setter in the world as well, but if you aren’t making the bets that best match your current dice-influencing skills; then your profits will likely remain on the losing-side of the ledger.
It doesn’t have to be that way, and that is where DiceTool shows you how to unlock the true potential of your current dice-influencing skills.
Foundation Frequencies Are the Basis of Your Influence
DiceTool looks at the global significance of each of the Foundation Frequencies (primary faces on-axis, single-pitches on-axis, double-pitches on-axis, single die off-axis, both dice off-axis) that a shooter tosses; and then considers the possible correlation between each of the Foundation Frequencies to determine which dice-set and which bets would be best for that particular shooter on an edge/bet and edge/roll basis.
As always, the greater the number of roll-stats collected by the shooter (especially those collected from his in-casino outcomes); the more predictable and actionably reliable the findings will be when he uses those recommendations to model his dice-permutation and betting strategy.
Prejudices Color Your View and Cloud Your Judgement
It is important to note, that DiceTool does not have ANY bias towards or against any dice-set, any permutation or any bet that is available on the layout. Rather, it shows you how each dice-set would perform against any given wager.
Each of the basic dice-sets (and as many of their permutations that you could care to evaluate), can all be programmed in and displayed side-by-side. There is no dictated set that you MUST use, nor is there any bias towards on-axis or facial-correlation. DiceTool simply evaluates a player’s set of roll-stats and determines where their best player-advantage betting-opportunities are right now.
Anyone who builds bias into their model (or even their thinking about dice-influencing) is using tainted logic, bad science, bad math and just plain old BAD FAITH. Oh they may tell you that they are trying to save you from yourself and that you need to confine your thinking to the same narrow limits that they have with theirs, but that just isn't how we develop as players...or as humans for that matter.
I am of the opinion that if you give a player ALL of the information about what his current abilities indicate, and then show him what his BEST through WORST bets are across every set; then I give him credit for being smart enough to make up his own mind as to where the bulk of his wagering-weight should be placed.
That way, the novice with a barely measurable advantage does not mistakenly chase bets where he merely THINKS he MAY have an advantage while using a certain set because some guy told him so.
DiceTool gives him credit for being able to make up his own mind when all the information is right in front of him. From that point, it is up to the player whether or not he takes advantage of his currently strongest skills.
If we try to prejudice or poison his choices based on our own assumptions and limited vision or with outmoded concepts that were thought to be useful only because we didn't know any better; then we needlessly suppress and retard not only his progress, but we also weaken and contaminate the entire dice-influencing community at large.
That's just not right!
Instead, with DiceTool, a player can determine for himself EXACTLY how much of an edge he has over EVERY bet on the table while comparing his talent across EVERY dice-set...without bias or pre-supposition of what is "right".
That way, his SKILL and ONLY his skill determines his bet/set combinations.
My Own Initial Use of DiceTool
When I did the first test-run after Stanford Wong put his finishing touches on it; it took me about three minutes to realize just how good it was.
Even so though, it took me about three actual in-casino sessions to work up the courage to wager on some of the indicated advantageous-bets paired with their ideal dice-set wagers which D-T indicated I had an incredible player-advantage over.
If I was reluctant; then I fully understand why others are also reluctant to switch over from some of their current sets or bets to reflect what DiceTool is indicating. However once I did it and proved to myself that it actually produced more profit from the same dollars I was willing to venture on my own shooting...I never looked back.
Since that point, my own profit-per-dollar-wagered has increased by an order that I wouldn't have previously believed possible.
The way I look at it is this:
If we limit our thinking, we also limit our potential.
I too was initially skeptical that DiceTool could zero in on my skills and dig up my highest potential bets in such short order. I was even more skeptical that I could turn those recommendations into more profit than I was already making while using the same amount of 7-exposure dollars per hand.
To me that seemed not only counter-intuitive at first, but I'm pretty sure that I was quite heavily ego-invested into the ways I had been betting up until then. I figured that no piece of software could do a better job of figuring out what was best for my then-current shooting skill than my own intelligence.
I was wrong, and I'm quite happy to say it. The additional at-the-table profit that I've been able to derive from this game because of D-T goes a LONG way in allowing my ego to admit that.
If we limit what we think we are capable of achieving, or limit what we think others are capable of achieving; then we'll almost always reach our own self-imagined limits…unfortunately when we’re bumping our head against that limited-belief ceiling, many others are far exceeding what we thought was possible.
DiceTool Unlocks Your Current Potential and Makes the Most of What You’ve Got
DiceTool looks at the results of how you toss the dice, and then shows you how to proportionately distribute your money across the bets where you have the strongest advantage.
That is, if you want to spread your money across multiple bets; DiceTool let’s you do it in a proportionally reflective way. That way, you are better able to dispassionately ignore the rest of the bets which have either too much volatility or too little exploitable player-edge…or no edge at all.
It is based on the premise that the dice themselves don't know or care what set you are throwing them in or what your axial intentions are, and therefore neither the dice nor DiceTool makes any pre-suppositions as to your intent.
The dice only react and respond to the way you throw them, and DiceTool's only concern is how effective you are in actually influencing them.
It does so by looking at the correlation between the starting-set that you threw them with and the subsequent facial relationship that they ended up on when they stopped moving at the other end of the table.
When you input a reasonable number of roll-stats, D-T is able to determine how your signature-TOSS affects and determines your signature-OUTCOMES.
Whether they end up on-axis 100% of the time or are off-axis 100% of the time, or more likely, somewhere in between; DiceTool uses those Foundation Frequencies to indicate where your strongest-edge bets are and which dice-set will give you the best advantage over the house.
DiceTool isn't designed for SRR ego-stroking or a one-eye-blind "we only consider on-axis outcomes as being de-randomized" school-of-limited-thought. Instead, it is designed for serious advantage-play bettors who want to wager on the highest-edge opportunities as offered up by their current throwing skills.
Your Degree of Influence Determines Your Outcomes
When you enter your Foundation Frequency dice-outcome relationships into DiceTool (by way of how many results were primary-face hits, how many were double-pitched outcomes, how many were single-pitched in either direction, how many were one-die off-axis results, and how many ended up with both dice off-axis); we get an excellent idea of how our current throwing-motion de-randomizes the outcomes, and therefore it offers an excellent basis on which to formulate our highest-edge set-matched-to-bet combinations.
That way, we often find all kinds of advantage-play opportunities even though our on-axis percentage may not be anything to write home about and even though our starting-set doesn't at first appear to have a high on-axis relationship to how the dice ended up.
That is because DiceTool looks at the degree of influence of our throw and the relative correlation between what we start out with and what we end up with. In doing so, Dicetool can tell us with a pretty high degree of accuracy what our toss-motion will likely produce as far as positively or negatively influenced wagers are concerned if the dice are set in certain combinations or permutations.
To DiceTool, your SRR-rate is almost incidental in that it uses a more advantage-centric measure of edge-per-roll and edge-per-bet to indicate the best wagers we can make for our current throwing skills…and like I said earlier; determining which tailored-to-YOUR-typical-throw dice-set will give you the highest player-edge over certain bets is really what advantage-play is all about.
In Part Two I’m going to tell you not only how to track your in-casino roll-stats and why they should be given much more validity than your at-home practice stats; but also how to take what DiceTool indicates is your best-set/best-bets combination and merge them with your present per-hand 7-exposure comfort-level…to turn those same dollars into significantly more real-world profit than your current bets are doing for you right now.
Good Luck and Good Skill at the Tables…and in Life.
The Mad Professor Copyright © 2007