I want to thank Irishsetter again for bringing up this subject a while back. Though the idea of using your practice-sessions to fine-tune your skills is nothing new; it is something that is easily overlooked because we sometimes just assume that everybody already knows that, and also that everybody is already doing it…but alas, that is a mistaken assumption of a very high magnitude.
You Don’t have to be Psychic to Make Accurate Predictions
Those of you who have been around the D-I community for quite a while will remember how, over the years, some board-members came on the D-I scene like gang-busters…posting like mad with literally hundreds upon hundreds of posts within their first couple of months of showing up…reported their rapid progress…pointed out the numerous ways they felt the old dogs were doing it wrong (sometimes even being less kind than I am, if that’s possible)…and then they disappeared without a trace as quickly as they arrived.
Now contrary to popular lore, I did NOT have them ‘disappeared’ nor made to suffer life-ending “accidents”; and as far as I know, all of their departures have been by their own (or God’s) accord.
More than the fact that they come on with such verve and vigor and fanfare; but left months later without so much as a whimper or even a simple declarative statement of their impending exodus, speaks directly to the skill vs. tenacity debate.
In most cases, I think we can take a member’s word (or at least his posted roll-stats) at face value. I mean, why queer the stats to make yourself look better; it doesn’t move your game forward one single step, and in fact I would argue that it actually retards progress and delays development of a properly exploitable toss.
More than all that though, is the ironic position some of us find ourselves in in terms of collecting on non-monetary side-bets we made as to how long we figured it would take a newly-arrived shooting-star to fizzle out and disappear from the D-I universe completely.
A couple of guys who have been around since we sacrificed the first sheep to get at its ankle bone (so we could fashion a pair of ceremonial D-I sect dice out of it); have been remarkably prescient about accurately predicting a player's likely expiry-and-exit date.
How can they be so precise in their prediction? Do they possess some secret prophetic powers, or do they have friends in low places at the defunct Psychic Friends Network?
No, as far as I know, Miss Cleo was never consulted because there was really no need to call in the soothsayers and oracles. Instead, it’s fairly easy to predict how long even the most brilliant and ambitious new-to-dice-influencing students will last, based almost entirely on gauging their perseverance, tenacity, and general stick-to-it-ness (if there is such a word).
To my mind, the more determination and commitment you have to accomplish an ambitious, long-term goal despite the inevitable obstacles; the higher your likelihood of eventual success.
Sheer talent may give you a head start on the whole process; but it is only through grit, self-discipline, dedication, and resolve that you will get to the point of profitable sustainability and be able to stay there for more than a temporary interlude.
Gauge Your Task-Commitment, and You Gauge Your Likelihood of Success
Your at-home practice-rig and the amount of time and concerted effort you put in THERE, determines how successful you’ll be when you get to the casino.
Think of it as “task commitment".
How long can you stay on-task when you are practicing?
I’m not talking about simply going through the motions of tossing the dice without really focusing on each and every throw as if it is THE THROW.
Instead, I’m talking about using each toss to learn something about the bio-mechanics of how your body works and how you transfer instructions from your brain…all the way down to the ends of your fingertips.
I’m talking about using each toss to gain more and more insight into what it takes to make the dice do what you want them to do time and time again.
I'm talking about imprinting each element of what constitutes a perfect throw to you, into the firing synapses of your brain; so that each new toss-commencement triggers the same mental-and-physical inputs over and over again.
And I’m talking about using each of your at-home sessions as a refining process that takes what you know…and turns it into what you do on a toss-after-toss-after-toss basis.
That fine-tuning process takes a ton of perseverance, endurance and hard work; but it is necessary if you want to get to the point where your D-I skills carry the day by continually growing and re-doubling your bankroll.
If you want to gauge the likelihood of your eventual in-casino successes and triumphs; simply and honestly gauge your current at-home practice-rig task-commitment. That will tell you pretty much everything you need to know about your future accomplishments and upcoming victories.
Or as Sun Tzu would say, “Every battle is won or lost BEFORE it is ever fought.”
I’m going to pursue this line of thought a little further in Part Four; so I hope you’ll join me for that.
Good Luck and Good Skill at the Tables…and in Life.
The Mad Professor
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