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Is Our Advantage-Play Betting Way Too Timid?

I ran into an interesting husband-and-wife A-P dice-influencing team last night.

He was your run-of-the-mill white-collar type-A frustrated-in-middle-management over-achiever and she was a type-PMS middle-aged bovine heavily bejeweled in gaudy baubles that women from the JC Penny perfume counter like to wear.  She sported a thick accent from one of those Eastern European countries that have an ignominious reputation for producing women who grow a lot of facial hair.

I'll tell you this right now; I was very impressed by their shooting.

He was the better shooter of the two, but she was clearly a more organized and disciplined bettor than he was.  Whenever he tried to deviate from what was obviously a very well thought out regression/progression scheme or if his bet-calling didn’t precisely coincide with previously determined trigger-points; then she would not-so-subtly admonish him...half in English and half in a Cocescu-era dialect.

Since we were at a thinly populated $25 table, I got many opportunities to see their D-I skills in action.

During her shooting, their betting would entail starting with $1020 or $1040-Across (depending on the PL-Point).  They’d then take three paying-hits before regressing it down to $260 or $270-Across.  Any subsequent hits would be fully parlayed on the next hit and then fully collected on during the next hit after then.  Each winning hit after that would be treated in the very same full-parlay/full-collect way.

During his shooting, their betting would start with $1600, or $1700, or $2200-Inside (depending on the PL-Point), then they take four paying hits before regressing their action down to $160, $170, or $220-Inside.  From there any subsequent hits would be treated to the same full-parlay/full-collect method that they used during her shooting.

After the second rotation around the table, I was fully satisfied that they were what Elaine Bennes would call “sponge worthy”; so when they were shooting, my bets perfectly mirrored theirs…albeit for an admittedly smaller amount of money.

Of the twenty or so times each them threw the dice (for a total of around 40 hands), they maxed-out on the $2000 table-limit about 3 or 4 times, and came very close to doing so probably another 9 or 10 times.

Watching this fine display of shooting and betting got me thinking about my own shooting, and the number of times I would have maxed-out a tables betting-limit more times than I have successfully done in the past…had I been a little more aggressive with my own post-regression bet-pressing.

I’m currently running a WinCraps regress-parlay-collect-parlay-collect analysis of my in-casino rolls over the last two years to see if that particular proposition holds any merit.

I’ll keep you informed.

MP

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on February 2, 2007 7:14 PM.

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