Don’t get me wrong, I still hate losing any money, any time; but I’ve been able to put PSO’s into a much better perspective…and as it happens, that has allowed me to improve my overall approach to the game as well as the amount of profit I can actually extract from it.
Let me explain.
I played a fairly typical session the other day. Though I didn’t have the table to myself, the dice were coming back around every 10 or 15 minutes.
My shooting was pretty decent.
~My “good” hands were averaging three PL-Point repeaters, plus enough box-number hits to get past my Initial Steep Regression and then press them back up to near their original pre-regression value (by way of modest single-unit presses on each subsequent hit).
~My “bad” hands were those annoying PSO’s whereby I’d establish the PL-Point and then throw an immediate 7-Out, or I’d only manage to collect one or two paying hits from my pre-regressed ISR Place-bets before everything got knocked off by a 7-Out.
Here’s the thing though; the PSO’s didn’t bother me like they used to, and it’s been that way for some time now.
Sure, like I said, I hate losing any money, any time; but it was the RATIO of “good” hands versus “bad” hands that made all the difference in the world. For every one “bad” PSO or near-PSO hand I was throwing, I was getting anywhere from eight to twelve “good” hands, so the ratio of good-to-bad was such that I am no longer bothered by the occasional Point-then-Seven-Out.
If you are a regression-type bettor who initially has a large amount of money on the table at the start of your point-cycle; then you understand the apprehension, dread, and impending doom that many players feel when they have high-value 7-exposure bets on the layout, even if it’s only for a roll or two. In fact, that is the main reason why many players are scared to use an Initial Steep Regression (ISR) in the first place…and being burned by an early Point-then-7-Out is also the main reason why many players who do try an ISR quickly back away from using it if produces an early failure instead of an early success.
Frankly you can’t blame them for their reaction; but is it the proper one?
Well I’m not going to go into the math angle of that question; my entire (and still ongoing) Regression Avoids Depression series is dedicated to fully exploring that angle. Rather, I want to take a very brief look at using the ISR from a psychological perspective.
Now instead of delving into this too deeply, I’ll simply say that if you figure out how often you throw PSO’s versus how often you successfully complete the full ISR large-bet-with-several-paying-hits-then-regress-to-a-lesser-bet-value process; you can figure out not only if an Initial Steep Regression is right for your current skill-set, but you can also determine how often you can expect those PSO’s to interrupt the whole profit-taking process.
Frankly, once you do that, you’ll look at PSO’s in a completely different light.
Sure, they’ll still bug you; but in having a fuller understanding of where PSO’s fit into the entire dice-influencing process, and the fact that you’ll still emerge with an overall profit despite the volatile toll that Point-then-Seven-Out’s exact; you’ll gain a better perspective that not only improves your overall approach to the game by way of knowing that you’ll still produce a net-profit; but you may also find yourself using even larger and/or even steeper pre-regression starting values knowing full well that they will occasionally fall to an errant PSO...but still generate an all-embracing net-profit.
MP