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A 77-Day Update

Because I expected that my profit-growth improvements would have plateaued by my February 10th blog-post, my intent was to provide a 50-day summary since reverting back to a more balanced shooting-stance after taking a two-week non-casino sabbatical back in mid-December; however that has not been the case.

Instead, the correlation of my Foundation Frequencies has remained strong and in fact it has continued improve and well…correlate even more over the last month or so.


For greater understanding, F-F correlation is all about the degree to which the outcome of each of the two dies are related to the other based on their initial pre-set.


Tracking your in-casino Foundation Frequencies takes the whole on-axis concept to the next logical level of advantage-play exploitation, and in doing so, it enables you to look at a broader, more realistic, and more useable spectrum of your current skill-set.


Concurrent with that, it also helps you uncover all kinds of profit-making wagering-opportunities that wouldn’t otherwise be readily apparent to anyone other than those possessing RainMan-like reckoning powers.


Let’s take a simple on-axis example of how correlation can work for you. If you look at the ratio of primary-face outcomes versus double-pitched outcomes; it can tell you not only how effective a 7-avoidance dice-set would be over a 7-dominant set, but it can also indicate how exploitable your current toss is in terms of betting on some of the more exotic prop-bets.


Knowing the dice are on-axis is one thing, but knowing exactly how to profitably exploit it despite those irritating double-pitches is another thing completely.


Another example of correlation is when you compare your single-pitch on-axis outcomes to your single die off-axis outcomes (across the entire range of potential dice-sets). By doing so, you can begin to see the true potential of your current dice-influencing abilities…and where your wagered dollars will do the most good and produce the most money.


When you look at the ‘big picture’ effect that all five Foundation Frequencies have when compared across all possible dice-sets and all possible bets; you can determine not only where your strongest-edge bets are and where your biggest money-making opportunities are, but also how frequently you can expect to hit them…as well as how frequently you can expect them to fall to an errant 7-Out.


Determining those kinds of things can take the money you make off of your current dice-influencing skills to a whole new level.


It is important to note that this has nothing to do with trying to come up with a “forgiving” dice-set (which in my opinion, is a quaint throwback to the early horse-and-buggy days of dicesetting); rather the use of BoneTracker and DiceTool are the kinds of things that help bridge the gap between the skill that you have…and the profits that your dice-influencing abilities entitle you to.


Now frankly, you could sit down and manually figure these things out with a pair of dice and a sheet of paper, and that’s great; but if you are a little lazy like me, you can simply use the DiceTool function in Maddog’s BoneTracker software to do all of that ciphering for you.


As always, the larger the sample size and the more recent its collection; the more pertinent it is to your right-here/right-now skill-set.


Hence, what I expected to be a 50-day update (after reverting back to a more balanced slightly-less-weight-on-my-shooting-foot stance) has stretched into what is now a 77-day update.


In my case, the last 77-days of in-casino play have not only proven out the value of using DiceTool to keep you fully informed as to how your betting-opportunities may change even when you make even a simple and very subtle change to the way you shoot; but it clearly demonstrated to me once again, that if I hadn’t been closely tracking my in-casino results through DiceTool; it would have taken substantially longer to determine exactly how to fully exploit those changes or to even realize how substantial those improvements really were.


Now don’t get me wrong; each of these past 77 days haven’t all been a ribald romp of revenue-ripping proportions. In fact there were five particular days when I hit my daily loss-limit without even catching a glimpse of ANY profit whatsoever. Instead it’s the OVERALL profit increase as well as the OVERALL F-F correlation improvements that are noteworthy.


How noteworthy?


Well, my primary-face on-axis hits improved by a little over 13% (going from just over ~15% to a solid ~18%). More importantly though, the ratio between primary-faced outcomes and double-pitched outcomes widened substantially (by about 28%, from 1.8:1 to 2.3:1).


The primary-hit to double-pitch ratio is important to most dice-influencers because throwing more primary-face hits and less double-pitched hits simply means that you’ll have significantly fewer on-axis 7-Outs when using a traditionally-arranged 7-avoidance set.


Concurrent with that primary-to double-pitch improvement, my single-pitched results increased modestly by 7% (improving from ~36% to ~38.5%); while my single-die off-axis results improved by a similar 8% margin (decreasing from ~34% to ~31.5%).


There was also a very interesting side note to all of this.


Besides the expected strength of the V-2 (and the V-3) dice-set shining through as expected; the Parallel-Sixes (P-6) dice-set also manifested what I would call ungodly advantages over certain box-numbers, and as a result I now occasionally use that set to snipe out a PL-Point.


Now, I’ll candidly admit that using a 7-dominant set like the P-6 for Rightside point-cycle shooting still causes me a little consternation, but I’ll also quickly tell you that those pangs of concern have been largely quelled as a result of the positive outcomes that I’ve been able to produce with that particular 7-dominant set.


I guess the more I use the P-6 for particular PL-Point repeating situations, and the more convincing the results; the more likely that I’ll use it in the future without the anxiety that used to accompany it.


I also want to give you an update on my Table-Adaptive Field-Harvest exploits during the last couple of months, since quite a few players have been asking about it.


Even though I continue to have a very strong edge over the Field-bet (NOT to be confused with the Iron-Cross bet); my advantage over the other Place-bets remains even stronger; so I’ve opted to use the high-buck Field-Harvest in casinos that sweat big-money Place-bets yet have absolutely no concern for big-action Field-bettors.


As I mentioned in my previous At the Table With the Mad Professor blog entry (by simply re-distributing the amount of weight that I put on each foot during my throw); had the effect of radically increasing the frequency of my mid-length hands to the point where it was almost too good to be true and I was not only reluctant to even mention it on the M-boards out of concern that it was just a major (and largely unbelievable) aberration whose hyper-positive variance would soon smooth out and return to a more reasonably believable level of shooting prowess; but more importantly, I fully expected it to drop back down to ‘normal’.


Now if there is a prime example of what Zig and Heavy call “stinkin’ thinkin’”, that is it. "Expecting' your results to worsen is not exactly the right positive mental attitude that any of us should aspire to; but frankly, for a time there, I did honestly think it was an abberation...and I did think that my Foundation Frequency correlation would decline back to the old standard.


Fortunately, at the time of this writing, my shooting hasn’t returned to what I formerly considered to be a pretty darn decent ‘normal’; so I now consider the results from the last 77 days to be the new normal. In addition to that, I've straightened myself out in terms of having any of those self-defeating thoughts of 'expecting' it all to decline.


In my next blog entry I’ll show you my actual DiceTool stats (on a dice-set by dice-set basis) that I've gleaned from the last 77 days of in-casino play.


Until then,


Good Luck and Good Skill at the Tables…and in Life.


The Mad Professor
Copyright © 2007

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on March 10, 2007 7:16 AM.

The previous post in this blog was The Last Seven Weeks Have Proven to be an Unexpected Evolution.

The next post in this blog is My Not-So-Random-Thought for the Day - 07/03/07.

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